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Opinion and Analysis
DECEMBER NOVEMBER OCTOBER
SEPTEMBER AUGUST JULY
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MARCH FEBRUARY JANUARY

AUGUST 30 - SEPTEMBER 3
Monetary Developments in the Euro Area : July 2004 (pdf), ECB, Aug 30
Economics of the Common Agricultural Policy (pdf), European Commission, Aug 30
Yoy M3 almost unchanged, but strong growth in excess liquidity (pdf), Commerzbank, Aug 30
Business survey barometer (pdf), NBB, Aug 30
Economic indicators (pdf), NBB, Aug 30

AUGUST 23 - AUGUST 27
Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy-Making at tha European Commission, from the Rome treaties to the Hague Summit (pdf), NBB, Aug 25
Euroland Economics: Trend Growth Confirmed, Morgan Stanley, Aug 25
Foreign direct investment in China - good prospects for German companies? (pdf), DBR, Aug 25
Germany: Still Lifted By Net Exports, Morgan Stanley, Aug 25

Euro area balance of payments (pdf)
, ECB, Aug 23
Reinforcement of consumer confidence in August (pdf), NBB, Aug 23
Recent trends in corporate and household balance sheets in Spain: Macroeconomic implications (pdf), BoS, Aug 23
Savings bank reform in Sweden pays off: overall banking market benefits from privatisation and consolidation, DB, Aug 23
Quarterly national accounts - preliminary figures, INSEE, Aug 23
Italy: Pension Reform -- No Free Lunch for Financial Sector (Part I), Morgan Stanley, Aug 23
Unstoppable?, Economist, Aug 23

AUGUST 16 - AUGUST 20
Financing and financial investment in the euro area in the first quarter of 2004, ECB, Aug 19
Commission Indicator Euro Area Quarterly GDP growz of 0.3% to 0.7% for the 3rd and 4th quarter of 2004, European Comission, Aug 19
Euroland Economics: Productivity Key to Transatlantic Inflation Divide, Morgan Stanley, Aug 19
Resolving Systemic Financial Crises: Policies and Institutions, World Bank, Aug 19
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment August 2004 - Declining expectations, ZEW, Aug 19
The Leading Index for Germany Rises Slightly, Conference Board, Aug 19

Explicit inflation objectives and macroeconomic outcomes (pdf)
, ECB, Aug 18
The Phillips curve under state-dependent pricing (pdf), BoE, Aug 18
Quartely Report On The Spanish Economy (pdf), BoS, Aug 18
Nice surprise in 2005?, DB, Aug 18
The Leading Index for Spain Dips, Conference Board, Aug 18
Turkey: The New Economy, Morgan Stanley, Aug 18

Price and Cost Competitiveness Part I (pdf)
, European Comision, Aug 17
Price and Cost Competitiveness Part II (tables and charts by country) (pdf), European Comision, Aug 17
Longer-Term Effects of Monetary Growth on Real and Nominal Variables, Major Industrial Countries (pdf), ECB, Aug 17
Euroland: Normal Although Uneven Recovery, Morgan Stanley, Aug 17
Monthly Report - July (pdf), Deutsche Bundesbank, Aug 17
Consumer price index - preliminary figures, INSEE, Aug 17
The Leading Index for France Increases Slightly, Conference Board, Aug 17

AUGUST 9 - AUGUST 13
Monthly Bulletin August (pdf), ECB, Aug 12
Improving fiscal policy in the EU: the case for independent forecasts (pdf), European Comision, Aug 12
Euroland Economics: Upside Risks to 2Q Growth, Back to Trend in 3Q, Morgan Stanley, Aug 12
French economy gaining speed (pdf), Commerzbank, Aug 12
The Leading Index for the U.K. Remains Unchanged, Conference Board, Aug 12
Employment in German industry: only auto sector adding staff, DB, Aug 12

U.K.'s Waning Oil Output Will Widen Trade Gap, Threaten Jobs
, Bloomberg, Aug 11
Store discounting cuts inflation, BBC, Aug 11
EU Softens Corporate Governance Proposal, DW, Aug 11
Rethinking Job Protection Laws, DW, Aug 11
Dutch emigrant surplus at highest level since 1950s, Expática, Aug 11
European bourses set for opening gains, FT, Aug 11

Output prices point to rate rise
, BBC, Aug 10
Shoppers deterred by interest rate rises, say retailers, Guardian, Aug 10
House prices 'show steady rise', BBC, Aug 10
French Industrial Output Slows to 0.2%; Energy Production Drops, Bloomberg, Aug 10
German Exports Fell for First Month in Four in June, Bloomberg, Aug 10
European shares off 2004 lows; oil hits airlines, Reuters, Aug 10

European Recovery Probably Steadied Last Quarter, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, Aug 9
Jobs growth outpaces eurozone, Examiner, Aug 9
Bank of England May Boost Growth Forecast, Signal Higher Rates, Bloomberg, Aug 9
German industrial output falls in June, AFP, Aug 9
Eurozone Data Shows German Growth Gain, DW, Aug 9
Spanish households go ever deeper in debt, EFE, Aug 9
Air traffic in Spain grows by 11pc, EFE, Aug 9

AUGUST 2- AUGUST 6
Denmark: Selected issues. IMF, August 6, 2004
ECB maintain interest rates at 2%
, Examiner, Aug 6
Bank lifts interest rate to 4.75%, BBC, Aug 6
Data shows fragile state of German economic recovery, DPA, Aug 6
German June Industrial Production Probably Fell, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Aug 6
Dutch inflation low in July, Expatica, Aug 6
Jobs increase as services sector maintains growth for fourteenth month, Examiner, Aug 6
Swedish economy soars, AFP, Aug 6
Russian consumer prices up, AFP, Aug 6

Economic Survey of Germany, OECD, August 5, 2004
ECB May Keep Benchmark Rate at 2% to Buoy Economy, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, Aug 5
Surging oil prices under ECB spotlight, AFP, Aug 5
WTO raps EU over sugar subsidies, BBC, Aug 5
Europe Economics: Work-time Deals to Cause Deflation?, Morgan Stanley, Aug 5
Bank set to lift interest rates, BBC, Aug 5
Jump in house prices sets stage for higher loan costs, Times, Aug 5
European Economies: German Unemployment Rises to 11-Month High, Bloomberg, Aug 5

IMF calls on EU to free up labour markets
, FT, Aug 4
Business And Consumer Survey Results (pdf), European Commission, Aug 4
European Services Probably Expanded for 13th Month in July, Bloomberg, Aug 4
House prices 'ease as rates rise', BBC, Aug 4
When will employment start to pick up? (pdf), Commerzbank, Aug 4
Unemployment in Spain falls for sixth month running, EFE, Aug 4
Russia raises economic growth forecast, AFP, Aug 4
Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues, IMF, August 4, 2004

JULY 26- JULY 30
Why is there a Productivity Problem in the EU?, by Francesco Daveri, July 2004
European Inflation Held Above ECB Target in July, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, Jul 30
Paymasters threaten EU budget chaos, FT, Jul 30
Monthly Note On The Euro-Denominated Bond Markets (pdf), European Commission, Jul 30
House price survey comes under fire, Times, Jul 30
£1,000,000,000,000. Household debt breaks the one trillion barrier, Guardian, Jul 30
Standard Life cuts a further 8% from with-profits payouts, Guardian, Jul 30
Job cuts feared in German rail industry, AFP, Jul 30
Growth prospects up, FAZ, Jul 30
Longer Workweek Debate Hits France, DW, Jul 30

The Impact of Unemployment on Individual Well-Being in the EU (pdf), ENEPRI, Jul 29
UK debt likely to top £1 trillion
, BBC, Jul 29
BoE 'won't clobber the consumer', Guardian, Jul 29
Think tank says economic recovery under way, DPA, Jul 29
French business confidence set to lift eurozone, FT, Jul 29
Interest rate hike to hit homeowners, Examiner, Jul 29
Poland's interest rates raised, AFP, Jul 29
Slovakia hikes GDP growth forecast, AFP, Jul 29

OECD slates eurozone for 'lack of dynamism'
, FT, Jul 28
French economy poised to grow, AFP, Jul 28
French July Business Confidence May Have Held Near 3-Year High, Bloomberg, Jul 28
Pay rises now trailing inflation, BBC, Jul 28
German Economy May Grow 2% Next Year, Wiegard Says, Bloomberg, Jul 28
Business Activity Picks up in German IT-Related Services Sector, ZEW, Jul 28
House prices in surprise 16pc rise, EFE, Jul 28

Economic Survey of the Euro Area, OECD, July 27, 2004
German Business Confidence Probably Rose in July, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, Jul 27
EU Prepares for WTO Agriculture Talks, DW, Jul 27
European Economies: German Inflation Accelerated in July, Bloomberg, Jul 27
UK cash-in-hand culture 'booming', BBC, Jul 27
UK: So far rate hikes had little impact (pdf), Commerzbank, Jul 27
Belgian business confidence on the up, Expatica, Jul 27
Manufacturing production falls 0.1%, Examiner, Jul 27

European Business Confidence May Have Held at Three-Year High
, Bloomberg, Jul 26
EU puts final touches to WTO talks, AFP, Jul 26
Industry boosts Britain's economy, BBC, Jul 26
Rise in cattle prices from tight supply, Examiner, Jul 26
Economist: Longer Workweek Risks Deflation, DW, Jul 26
Spanish jobless under 11pc for first time since 2001, EFE, Jul 26
Dutch consumer confidence at 2-year high, Expatica, Jul 26

JULY 19- JULY 23
An analysis of EU and US productivity developments (pdf), European Commission, Jul 23
Euro 2004 lifts High Street sales, BBC, Jul 23
U.K. Second-Quarter Growth Probably Accelerated, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 23
Strong UK retail sales point to August rate rise, FT, Jul 23
French economy heads for growth, AFP, Jul 23
WTO: France fights US moves to cut agriculture export subsidies, AFP, Jul 23
Irish trade surplus rises to €13.1bn, Examiner, Jul 23

EU, Mercosur put trade talks on hold
, AFP, Jul 22
Bank unanimous on freezing rates, BBC, Jul 22
U.K. Buy-to-Let Mortgage Growth Set to Ebb, Datamonitor Says, Bloomberg, Jul 22
German recovery still fragile, AFP, Jul 22
The Leading Index for Germany Rises, Conference Board, Jul 22
Spain's debt 85pc higher than 2003, EFE, Jul 22
Rates warning on house loans, Examiner, Jul 22

Fiscal policy in EMU: Rules, discretion and political incentives (pdf)
, European Commission, Jul 21
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment July 2004 - Stabilization raises hopes, ZEW, Jul 21
UK mortgage lending rises sharply, BBC, Jul 21
EUR/GBP - The Productivity Story, Morgan Stanley, Jul 21
Rural U.K. Business Rises as Web Spurs Relocation, Survey Says, Bloomberg, Jul 21
Italian Consumer Confidence Probably Fell in July, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 21
The Leading Index for Spain Decreases, Conference Board, Jul 21

More Upbeat on GDP Growth
, Morgan Stanley, Jul 20
'Draft WTO deal good starting point', AFP, Jul 20
Public Pensions in the National Accounts and Public Finance Targets (pdf), European Commission, Jul 20
German Investor Confidence Probably Fell in July, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 20
German 'wise men' boost growth forecast, DPA, Jul 20
U.K. Home-Price Growth Drops to Slowest in 10 Months, RICS Says, Bloomberg, Jul 20
Spain's debt will be 1pc of GNP, EFE, Jul 20

European Consumers Reluctant to Boost Spending, Surveys Show
, Bloomberg, Jul 19
UK's economy 'best since 1990s', BBC, Jul 19
German Producer Prices Fell in June as Oil Costs Declined, Bloomberg, Jul 19
Germany in search of its own Thatcher and Blair, Guardian, Jul 19
German auto industry is booming, DBR, Jul 19
When will employment start to pick up? (pdf), Conference Board, Jul 19

JULY 12- JULY 16
Euro area: optimism on the rise? (pdf), Commerzbank, Jul 16
Schroeder Sees Job Growth in 2004, 2005, FT Deutschland Reports, Bloomberg, Jul 16
Germans Unemployed Longer Than EU Average, DW, Jul 16
Exports lift orders and sales of industrial companies, FAZ, Jul 16
Germany: Turning Into a Bazaar?, Morgan Stanley, Jul 16
Pound May Gain Versus Dollar on Expectations BOE to Raise Rates, Bloomberg, Jul 16
Italy failing to get its financial house in order, Euractiv, Jul 16

Commission aims to boost spending
, BBC, Jul 15
Why is there a Productivity Problem in the EU? (pdf), CEPS, Jul 15
Has Trade any Importance in the Transmission of Currency Shocks? (pdf), ENEPRI, Jul 15
EU to Make New Deficit Proposals for France, Germany, Bloomberg, Jul 15
Surprise leap in jobless total, Guardian, Jul 15

Court overturns finance ministers
, BBC, Jul 14
Issing Says ECB Must Check Inflation Expectations, Nikkei Says, Bloomberg, Jul 14
Bubble, Bubble, Housing Trouble In Britain, BW, Jul 14
Leisure costs push inflation up, BBC, Jul 14
Spanish Inflation rises to 2.8 pc, EFE, Jul 14
French inflation at 2.4 percent in May, AFP, Jul 14
EU Plan to Overhaul $7 Billion Sugar Industry May Mean Job Cuts, Bloomberg, Jul 14

U.K. June Retail Sales Growth Eased on Rain, Soccer
, Bloomberg, Jul 13
UK manufacturing boosted by easing oil prices, FT, Jul 13
British jobs growth speeds up as employers retain extra summer staff, Examiner, Jul 13
German inflation falls in June, DPA, Jul 13
Ireland's economic growth to accelerate, AFP, Jul 13
French industrial output up 0.2 percent in May, AFP, Jul 13
The Leading Index for France Decreases Slightly, Conference Board, Jul 13

Monthly Bulletin July (pdf)
, ECB, Jul 12
The Nifty and the Thrifty: UK versus Euro Area Consumers, Morgan Stanley, Jul 12
Tighter spending review expected, BBC, Jul 12
Economic recovery helps to ease pressure on Schroeder, DPA, Jul 12
Growth fails to create jobs, FAZ, Jul 12
Italy accepts austerity measures, AFP, Jul 12
French Industrial Production Probably Rose in May, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 12

JULY 5- JULY 9
ECB steps up campaign for structural reform, DPA, Jul 9
Bank keeps rate unchanged at 4.5%, BBC, Jul 9
The UK Leading Index Rises, Conference Board, Jul 9
German Exports Rise for Third Month in May, Gain 3.9 Percent, Bloomberg, Jul 9
Euro Area Economic Monthly (pdf), Commerzbank, Jul 9
Portugal raises growth forecast, AFP, Jul 9
Sterling stays steady against euro, Examiner, Jul 9
Oil price rise pulls inflation to 2.3%, Examiner, Jul 9

Oil-price triggered inflationary trend may not last
, Euractiv, Jul 8
Rates predicted to stay on hold, BBC, Jul 8
German Industrial Production Probably Rose in May, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 8
German Jobless Rate Dips in June, DW, Jul 8
Italy's PM bows to critics, AFP, Jul 8
Italy debt downgrade deepens PM's woes, FT, Jul 8

Key indicators for the euro area (pdf)
, European Commission, Jul 7
EU report highlights black economy, Examiner, Jul 7
Inside The Bank Of England, BW, Jul 7
U.K. House Prices May Drop as Much as 30 Percent, PWC Says, Bloomberg, Jul 7
United Kingdom: MPC Preview: On Balance, on Hold, Morgan Stanley, Jul 7
IMF raises German growth forecast, AFP, Jul 7
German May Factory Orders Probably Little Changed, Bloomberg, Jul 7
Unemployment chalks up first fall this year, DPA, Jul 7

Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (pdf)
, European Commission, Jul 6
German Unemployment Probably Rose for a Sixth Month, Bloomberg, Jul 6
U.K.'s Brown Vows to Curb Spending, Spur Efficiency, Bloomberg, Jul 6
Growth fuels jobs boost in UK services, FT, Jul 6
Italy avoids EU deficit warning, BBC, Jul 6
Service sector still growing, Examiner, Jul 6

Euroland: Steady Growth, Close to Trend
, Morgan Stanley, Jul 5
ECB takes hawkish stand on eurozone pressures, FT, Jul 5
Copycat rate rise could trigger eurozone relapse, Times, Jul 5
Euro growth 'to beat forecasts', BBC, Jul 5
European Services Growth Probably Slowed in June, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 5
Experts play down rate hike fears, BBC, Jul 5
Public sector illness costs UK £4bn a year, FT, Jul 5
Jobless fall for fifth month running, Exapátca, Jul 5
Consultants forecast 76,000 new houses, Examiner, Jul 5

JUNE 28 - JULY 2
ECB leaves interest rates at 2%, BBC, Jul 2
Housing prices show boom slowing down, EFE, Jul 2
Europe partially opens power, gas markets, AFP, Jul 2
UK investment up at fastest pace in 3 years, FT, Jul 2
Manufacturing growth slows slightly, Examiner, Jul 2
New jobs shock, Economist, Jul 2
Federal budget 2005: Same procedure as every year, DB, Jul 2
35-hour week suffers setback, FAZ, Jul 2

ECB May Maintain Key Rate, Declining to Follow Fed
, Bloomberg, Jul 1
Eurozone inflation eases ahead of ECB rate call, FT, Jul 1
Spending surge puts 'golden rule' at risk, Times, Jul 1
UK economy tops growth estimates, BBC, Jul 1
French jobless rate rises to 9.8 percent in May, AFP, Jul 1
French economy growing, confidence trails, AFP, Jul 1
Oil-price inflation 'could threaten growth', EFE, Jul 1
Norway's Central Bank May Keep Rates Unchanged, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jul 1

ECB set to go into summer break with rates on hold
, AFP, Jun 30
European June Inflation Probably Slowed to 2.4%, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jun 30
Three new Member States join ERM II, Euractiv, Jun 30
Consumer confidence takes a knock as rate rises bite, Independent, Jun 30
Signs of property slowdown as inflation weakens, AP, Jun 30
Germany puts hours into keeping domestic jobs, FT, Jun 30
Raffarin warns jobless will rise before ‘second half’ fall, AFP, Jun 30
Minimum wage in France to rise by 5.8%, FT, Jun 30
Bank chief warns of weaknesses in economy, EFE, Jun 30
Austrian economy grows 0.2% in Q1, AFP, Jun 30

Euro Area: Recovery unchecked - June 2004 (pdf)
, Commerzbank, Jun 29
Eurozone M3 money supply growth slows, AFP, Jun 29
Europe - All: When the Fed Lady Sings, Will the ECB Blow the Whistle?, Morgan Stanley, Jun 29
No cure in sight for ailing Stability Pact, Euractiv, Jun 29
French Business Confidence Probably Rose to 3-Year High in June, Bloomberg, Jun 29
German consumer confidence picks up, DPA, Jun 29
Paris and Berlin lay claim to EU economic posts, FT, Jun 29
Netherlands: Trade Unions Put Recovery at Risk, Morgan Stanley, Jun 29

Global: Europe Needs a Stronger Euro
, Morgan Stanley, Jun 28
Eurozone indicators to show confidence rising, AFP, Jun 28
ECB May Keep Rates Unchanged as Economy Recovers, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jun 28
Commission indicator forecasts euro area quarterly GDP growth of 0.3% to 0.7% for the 2nd and 0.4% to 0.8% for the 3rd quarter of 2004 (pdf), European Commission, Jun 28
German Economy Monthly - June 2004 (pdf), Commerzbank, Jun 28
Bank of England Says Lenders May Suffer as Rates, Debt Rise, Bloomberg, Jun 28
Dip in demand cools house prices, BBC, Jun 28
Export subsidies agreement closer, Examiner, Jun 28

JUNE 21- JUNE 25
Euro pact rules to be reviewed, BBC, Jun 25
Europe plans sugar subsidy cuts, BBC, Jun 25
British manufacturing orders weaken, APF, Jun 25
German business confidence to rebound, DPA, Jun 25
German inflation slows in June, APF, Jun 25
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment June 2004 - Downward Trend Ends, ZEW, Jun 25
French growth of 2.3% forecast, Examiner, Jun 25

Bank united on interest rate rise
, BBC, Jun 24
Housing bubble fears 'overblown', BBC, Jun 24
UK's winter gas supply faces 'considerable' risk, Times, Jun 24
Labour fails to stop widening of income gap, Guardian, Jun 24
French GDP to Grow 2.3% in 2004 on Exports, Bloomberg, Jun 24
The Leading Index for Germany Declines Again, Conference Board, Jun 24
Spain's budget surplus shrinks, AFP, Jun 24

WTO wants progress on farm trade
, AFP, Jun 24
Refinancing still soft as rates dip, Reuters, Jun 24
Bank Economists See Gradual Rate Hikes, Reuters, Jun 24
Quality of New Jobs Is Focus of Election-Year Debate, WP, Jun 24
Lula Says Brazil to Strive for Sustainable Recovery, Bloomberg, Jun 24
Japanese Service Industries Expanded in April; Business Confidence Rises, Bloomberg, Jun 24
Wholesale sales rise 1%, Globe & Mail, Jun 24

Large Caps Still Upbeat on Recovery
, Morgan Stanley, Jun 23
Norway oil strike starts to bite, BBC, Jun 23
Brussels slams state interference, BBC, Jun 23
German Budget May Fail to Avert EU Deficit Breach, Adviser Says, Bloomberg, Jun 23
Ifo ups German growth forecast, AFP, Jun 23
German investor confidence rebounds, DPA, Jun 23
The Leading Index for Spain Drops Slightly, Conference Board, Jun 23

ECB warns against driving up wage deals
, FT, Jun 22
Interest rates 'hit house prices', BBC, Jun 22
Italian June Consumer Optimism Probably Increased, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jun 22
German Executive, Investor Optimism Probably Improved, Bloomberg, Jun 22
Strong euro not hurting Germany, DPA, Jun 22
Sector report – forecast for German industry (pdf), Commerzbank, Jun 22

The empirics of trade and growth: where are the policy recommendations? (pdf)
, European Commission, Jun 21
ECB's Trichet Sees Inflation Falling Below 2%, El Pais Says, Bloomberg, Jun 21
Eurozone posts rise in April trade surplus, AFP, Jun 21
The Economic Situation in the Acceding Countries (pdf), ZEW, Jun 21
Inside the citadel, Guardian, Jun 21
Slowdown in UK mortgage lending, BBC, Jun 21
Italian trade deficit slashed in April, AFP, Jun 21
Housing boom 'to slow down', EFE, Jun 21

JUNE 14- JUNE 18
Eurozone industrial output rises, AFP, Jun 18
Europe - All: SNB 1, ECB 0, Moragan Stanley, Jun 18
ECB needs autonomy, FAZ, Jun 18
U.K. Consumers Expect Rate Rises in Next 12 Months, Survey Says, Bloomberg, Jun 18
French current account posts April surplus, AFP, Jun 18
Solbes offers regions more control over purse strings, EFE, Jun 18

Brown vows to resist EU tax moves
, BBC, Jun 17
UK jobless figure still falling, BBC, Jun 17
U.K. Retail Sales Probably Surged in May, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jun 17
The Leading Index for France Increases and Continuation of Growth is Suggested, Conference Board, Jun 17
Portuguese inflation at 2.4% in May, AFP, Jun 17
Jobs surge as economy gets back on track, Examiner, Jun 17
Risk of autumn hike in interest rates, Examiner, Jun 17

Monthly Bulletin June (pdf)
, ECB, Jun 16
U.K. Government Growth Data to Be Revised Up, ITEM Club Says, Bloomberg, Jun 16
House prices may fall, says King, BBC, Jun 16
. . . but UK rate hits highest in a year, Times, Jun 16
Irish house price crash unlikely, say economists, Examiner, Jun 16
The i-word is back on global agenda, Guardian, Jun 16

Rato calls for more balanced growth
, Expatica, Jun 15
Euro area, Recovery unchecked (June 2004) (pdf), Commerzbank, Jun 15
U.K. Home Prices Slow on Rates Outlook, RICS Says, Bloomberg, Jun 15
Germans and Dutch face summit clash, FT, Jun 15
More Belgian businesses going bust, Expatica, Jun 15
Strong euro pushes up Amsterdam cost of living, Expatica, Jun 15
Italy: Skeptical Optimism, Morgan Stanley, Jun 15
Ahern demands wages be kept low, Examiner, Jun 15

Euro, UK data to reveal inflationary pressures
, AFP, Jun 14
Housing market hit by jitters even before latest rate increase, Independent, Jun 14
Germany Aims to Keep 2005 Deficit at 3% of GDP, Spiegel Says, Bloomberg, Jun 14
German Economic Monthly (pdf), Commerzbank, Jun 14
Germany's automotive sector under pressure, FAZ, Jun 14
Inflation shows biggest rise for 12 years, Expatica, Jun 14
Poland's Zloty May Advance for Second Week, Survey Indicates, Bloomberg, Jun 14
Factory supply down 7% last month, Examiner, Jun 14

JUNE 7- JUNE 11
Inflation 'marginally' higher this year: ECB, Examiner, Jun 11
Bank lifts interest rates to 4.5%, BBC, Jun 11
The UK Leading Index is Unchanged But Continued Strength Suggests Growth is Likely to Persist, Conference Board, Jun 11
Schroeder Says German Economy May Grow as Much as 2% in 2004, Bloomberg, Jun 11
Unemployment 'set to drop to 4.2%', Examiner, Jun 11
Chirac sees US deficit threat to world economy, Expatica, Jun 11

Bank meets to decide UK rate fate
, BBC, Jun 10
Pound Climbs Most in Eight Months Versus Euro; Production Gains, Bloomberg, Jun 10
Treasury cap will slash jobs at insurers, Times, Jun 10
French Industrial Production Probably Increased for Third Month, Bloomberg, Jun 10
German exports surge, Expatica, Jun 10
French minister attacks ECB on inflation, FT, Jun 10

House price rise 'gathers pace'
, BBC, Jun 9
U.K. to Impose New Rules on Lenders to Curb Borrowing, Bloomberg, Jun 9
High German jobless keeps pressure on Schroeder, Exaptica, Jun 9
Inflation set to rise over summer, Exaptica, Jun 9
Swiss unemployment rate eases, AFP, Jun 9
Ireland expected to outperform eurozone economy again this year, Examiner, Jun 9
Lithuania's GDP surges 7.7% in Q1, AFP, Jun 9

German Unemployment Probably Increased for Fifth Month in May
, Bloomberg, Jun 8
Norwegian, Swedish Inflation Accelerated in May, Surveys Show, Bloomberg, Jun 8
United Kingdom: MPC Meeting Preview--Close Call, but On Hold, Morgan Stanley, Jun 8
Engineering recovery adds to case for rate rise, Independent, Jun 8
German car sales drop as oil price soars, Expatica, Jun 8
Italy: Unexpressed Potential, Morgan Stanley, Jun 8

Euroland: Third Time Lucky
, Morgan Stanley, Jun 7
Bank expected to raise base rate amid signs of a stronger economy, Independent, Jun 7
Demand boosting service recovery, BBC, Jun 7
German, French Production Probably Rose in April, Surveys Show, Bloomberg, Jun 7
Germany: Glimmer of Hope, Morgan Stanley, Jun 7
German April Factory Orders Gain Most in 15 Months, Bloomberg, Jun 7
17,000 jobs at multinationals to go by 2006, Expatica, Jun 7

MAY 31- JUNE 4
Euro rates mark 12 months at 2%, BBC, Jun 4
Euro Area: Recovery unchecked (pdf), Commerzbank, Jun 4
ECB's Weber Says Oil Price May Prompt Inflation Outlook Review
, Bloomberg, Jun 4
Services industry reports surprise fall in business, FT, Jun 4
House price crash likely, says Economist, Examiner, Jun 4

EU urges adequate supply of oil
, AFP, Jun 3
ECB May Keep Rates Unchanged as Economy Recovers, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Jun 3
European Economies: U.K. Consumer Borrowing Rises to Record, Bloomberg, Jun 3
Unemployment falls 51,000, Expatica, Jun 3
German Retail Sales Rise Offers Hope for Economy, DW, Jun 3
Tax take boosts public finances, Examiner, Jun 3
EU orders Dutch to solve budget deficit breach by 2005, Expatica, Jun 3

Commission indicator forecasts euro area quarterly GDP growth of 0.3% to 0.7% for the 2nd and 0.4% to 0.8% for the 3rd quarter of 2004 (pdf)
, European Commission, Jun 2
European Economies: Manufacturing Grows for 9th Month, Bloomberg, Jun 2
Europe Economics: When Rates Rise, Morgan Stanley, Jun 2
Keeping Low Wages in (Europe's) Bounds, DW, Jun 2
Shoppers unmoved by rate rises as sales hit 2-year high, Times, Jun 2

Business and Consumer Survey Results (pdf)
, European Commission, Jun 1
European Manufacturing Probably Expanded for 9th Month in May, Bloomberg, Jun 1
Shattering the Euro Myth, DW, Jun 1
Shops 'to score with Euro 2004', BBC, Jun 1
Consumers cautious with borrowings, Examiner, Jun 1
Mortgage demand still rising, Examiner, Jun 1

China averts EU trade dispute
, FT, May 31
French consumer confidence faulters, Expatica, May 31
Price rises show no sign of slowing down, Expatica, May 31
Oil costs sap consumer confidence, Guardian, May 31
Housing market pundits mull sharp shock, FT, May 31
Exports rise 9% to €7.3bn in February, Examiner, May 31

MAY 24- MAY 28
European Inflation Probably Accelerated in May, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 28
Euroland: When Rates Rise (Part 2), Morgan Stanley, May 28
Latin America Aims for More EU Trade, DW, May 28
Europe at odds over industry policy, FT, May 28
Britain still booming as house prices and exports hit highs, Guardian, May 28
Consumer confidence up but no spending spree, Examiner, May 28
Wellink: Dutch economy recovering slowly, Expatica, May 28

Bank moves to quell fears of interest rates doubling
, Times, May 27
French Business Confidence Probably Held at 3-Year High in May, Bloomberg, May 27
Economy continues to grow, Expatica, May 27
Sweden's Riksbank May Leave Rate at Century Low, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 27
Top German Banker Sees Light At End of Tunnel, DW, May 27
House prices set to grow by 6%, Examiner, May 27
Rapid increase in UK public sector jobs, FT, May 27

ECB hints at rate cut if oil price hits upturn
, FT, May 26
Euroland: When Rates Rise (Part 1), Morgan Stanley, May 26
Bundesbank unfazed by oil prices, AFP, May 26
German business confidence slips, Expatica, May 26
French consumer spending climbs, AFP, May 26
Italian May Business Confidence Probably Declined, Survey Shows, Blommberg, May 26

Oil price drives up eurozone inflation
, FT, May 25
'ECB has to avoid overreacting to data', AFP, May 25
German May Business Confidence Probably Declined, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 25
Russia could join WTO by 2006: Lamy, AFP, May 25
French optimistic for EU Constitution, Examiner, May 25
Introducing Euro Helps Strengthen Polish Economy, DW, May 25

European Business Optimism Seen Unchanged in May, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, May 24
IMF man is new German president, BBC, May 24
Ministers in joint call on stability pact rules, FT, May 24
Bank 'to get more aggressive about rates', Times, May 24
U.K. Manufacturing Fails to Pick Up as Production Shifts Abroad, Bloomberg, May 24
Raffarin calls for tight control of 2005 budget, FT, May 24

MAY 17- MAY 21
Officials set for Russia-EU talks, BBC, May 21
Greek budget mess earns EU rebuke, BBC, May 21
Brown joins call for cheaper oil, BBC, May 21
UK dismay over Franco-German bid to grab top economics job, European Voice, May 21
House price inflation 'to slow this year', Guardian, May 21
United Kingdom: A Little More, a Little Earlier, Morgan Stanley, May 21

Europe Strategy: Rates Up, Growth Expectations Down
, Morgan Stanley, May 20
EU finally signs Swiss tax deal, BBC, May 20
EU-Russia Trade Talks in Moscow May Remove Hurdle to WTO Entry, Bloomberg, May 20
U.K. April Retail Sales Probably Rose, Widening Gap to Euro-12, Bloomberg, May 20
MPC pondered its first half-point rate rise, Guardian, May 20
German Leading Index Declines Once Again, Connference Board, May 20

Europe - All: Back to the Seventies?
, Morgan Stanley, May 19
Euroland: Hail the Good News, Mind the Correction, Morgan Stanley, May 19
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment May 2004 - Downward Trend Lessens, ZEW, May 19
Inflation up on higher fuel costs, BBC, May 19
Greek deficit to return below 3.0%, AFP, May 19
Self-employment on the up in Belgium, Expatica, May 19
Leading Index for Spain Continues Steady Upward Climb, Conference Board, May 19

MAY 10- MAY 14
Euro Region Economy Probably Expanded 0.5% in First Quarter, Bloomberg, May 14
Inflation threat may accelerate rate rises, FT, May 14
From Cancún to can-do, Economist, May 14
The Leading Index for France Rebounds and Rises Again, Conference Board, May 14
Germany records fastest growth in three years, Expatica, May 14
GNP heads for 3.7% growth, Examiner, May 14

Monthly Bulletin - May (pdf)
, ECB, May 13
Europe Economics: Reuniting Europe, Morgan Stanley, May 13
Plan for EU company tax, AFP, May 13
Rates must rise to halt inflation, says Bank, Times, May 13
The UK Leading Index Continues to Increase, Conference Board, May 13
German, Italian Economies Struggled to Accelerate, Surveys Show, Bloomberg, May 13
German inflation heats up in April, Exapatica, May 13

OECD warns of threats to economic recovery
, FT, May 12
Manufacturing dip defies forecast, BBC, May 12
French First-Quarter Growth Probably Slowed on Euro's Increase, Bloomberg, May 12
'Italy last as world recovery advances', AFP, May 12
OECD voices fears for Spanish economy, Expatica, May 12
Fears of house price crash are fading, says OECD, Examiner, May 12

EU insists on deficit cuts
, AFP, May 11
Italy escapes Euro budget rap, BBC, May 11
EU subsidy exceeds mandate: France, AFP, May 11
French Industrial Production Probably Increased 0.4% in March, Bloomberg, May 11
England, Wales 1st-Quarter House-Price Growth Fastest in Year, Bloomberg, May 11
German exports to new EU states boom, Expatica, May 11
Czech unemployment rate dips, AFP, May 11

Euro Region Economy Probably Grew 0.4% in Quarter, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, May 10
EU sets deadline over Chinese coke exports, FT, May 10
Bank of England's Raise Rates to 4.75% This Year, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 10
Orders boost brings hope of end to factory jobs slump, Guardian, May 10
United Kingdom: Perfectly Boring, Morgan Stanley, May 10
German IT-Related Service Providers View Economic Upturn with Caution, ZEW, May 10
Jobs ads increase 14% in April, Examiner, May 10

MAY 3- MAY 7
ECB holds rates on signs of eurozone recovery, FT, May 7
ECB warns of risks posed by surging oil prices, Expatica, May 7
Lift export restrictions to China, EU urged, AFP, May 7
Bank ups interest rates to 4.25%, BBC, May 7
German March Industrial Production Probably Rose, Bloomberg, May 7
Germany: Politics to Derail the Recovery?, Morgan Sanley, May 7
Terror attacks fail to dent economy, Expatica, May 7

ECB to Keep Rates Unchanged as Economy Recovers, Survey Shows
, Bloomberg, May 6
Euro Recoups Loss; ECB May Refrain From Reducing Interest Rate
, Bloomberg, May 6
Rate rise 'inevitable' after triple whammy, Times, May 6
Sarkozy wants soft approach on Stability pact, Euractiv, May 6
Poland And The EU, BW, May 6

Eurozone manufacturing strongest in 3 years
, FT, May 4
Euroland: Job Creation Still Stagnating in Q1, but Don’t Despair, Morgan Stanley, May 4
French Consumer Confidence Probably Rose in April, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 4
New car sales drop in France, AFP, May 4
Firms' optimism signals rate rise, BBC, May 4
Bank of England Likely to Raise Rates This Week, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 4
Germany abandons budgetary rules, AFP, May 4
Enlarged EU offers rich promise, Examiner, May 4

Europe Cheers Meeting of East and West
, WP, May 3
EU enlargement breeds cheap labour fears, AFP, May 3
U.K. Manufacturers May Struggle in Enlarged EU, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, May 3
Slower growth clouds rate outlook, Independent, May 3
Schröder tax plan dubbed ‘economically illiterate’, European Voice, May 3
Germany's Deficit to Exceed Limits for Fourth Time, Focus Says, Bloomberg, May 3
Spain's tourism bounces back, BBC, May 3
Consumer confidence on the increase, Examiner, May 3

APRIL 26- APRIL 30
Developments in the Cost Competitiveness of the European Union, The United States and Japan (pdf), European Commisssion, Apr 30
Central European banks, Economist, Apr 30
European Consumer Confidence Probably Stalled, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Apr 30
UK housing boom in renewed surge, BBC, Apr 30
German Government May Cut 2004 Growth Forecast to 1.5 Percent, Bloomberg, Apr 30
Portuguese economy contracts, AFP, Apr 30
Moscow and EU near deal on Russia's WTO entry, FT, Apr 30

EU set to raise stakes in trade clash with US
, FT, Apr 29
EU deficits row reaches court, BBC, Apr 29
Brown supports BoE rate stance, BBC, Apr 29
French Business Confidence Probably Stayed High, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Apr 29
Rates should rise argues MPC dove, FT, Apr 29
U.K. Small Firms Struggle to Obtain Venture Capital, BOE Says, Bloomberg, Apr 29
Italy warned to cut budget deficit, Examiner, Apr 29

EU 'behind US' in competitiveness
, BBC, Apr 28
German think tanks revise down growth forecasts, Expatica, Apr 28
U.K. Chancellor Brown Will Signal Approval for BOE Rate Rise, Bloomberg, Apr 28
Bank of Scotland boosts Irish business, Examiner, Apr 28
Jobless rise during first quarter, Expatica, Apr 28

EU 'lagging behind' in competitiveness
, BBC, Apr 27
Producers at most optimistic for a decade as orders surge, Times, Apr 27
United Kingdom: Putting the Housing Bubble into Perspective, Morgan Stanley, Apr 27
German Institutes May Cut Growth Forecast as Consumption Stalls, Bloomberg, Apr 27
Business Index Jumps Unexpectedly, DW, Apr 27
Belgian banks 'invest billions in arms trade', Expatica, Apr 27
Greeks against lower ECB rates, Examiner, Apr 27
Italy: A Matter of Incentives, Morgan Stanley, Apr 27

Eurozone ministers attack Trichet
, Independent, Apr 26
Interest rates predicted to rise, Examiner, Apr 26
Inflation in eurozone to breach 'ceiling', FT, Apr 26
European Bonds Decline for Second Week on Interest-Rate Outlook, Bloomberg, Apr 26
U.K.'s Brown Should Raise Taxes to Slow Growth, Report Says, Bloomberg, Apr 26
Brown dismisses house price crash, BBC, Apr 26
Construction demand up, FAZ, Apr 26
Poland: Booming Despite the Government, Morgan Stanley, Apr 26

APRIL 19- APRIL 23
ECB chief issues warning to oil producers, FT, Apr 23
Government hints at pension help, BBC, Apr 23
UK mortgage lending surges in March, Reuters, Apr 23
Italian April Consumer Confidence Probably Fell, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Apr 23
Dutch local taxes increase again, Expatica, Apr 23
Spain: A New Team at Work, Morgan Stanley, Apr 23

MPs hit at banks' denial of debt crisis
, Times, Apr 22
U.K. Minister Calls for Crackdown on `Irresponsible Lending', Bloomberg, Apr 22
Brown backs rise in interest rates as IMF endorses growth forecasts, Independent, Apr 22
German Leading Index Dips Again and Adds to Economic Recovery Uncertainty, Conference Board, Apr 22
Study says Germany Need Not Fear EU Enlargement, DW, Apr 22
Central Bank predicts 3.25% GNP growth, Examiner, Apr 22

Europe - All: As the Interest Rate Cycle Turns ...
, Morgan Stanley, Apr 21
Brown to demand pay-deal restraint, Times, Apr 21
U.K. Companies May Spend More as Pension Costs Drop, CBI Says, Bloomberg, Apr 21
Bank's dilemma: curb debt or hurt growth, Guardian, Apr 21
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment April 2004 - Optimism continues to fade, ZEW, Apr 21
Leading Index for Spain Continues Steady Upward Trend, Conference Board, Apr 21
Borrowing rises 15pc, Expatica, Apr 21
House buyers beware: prices set to rise 12%, Examiner, Apr 21

Euro area: structural problems not impeding recovery (pdf)
, Commerzbank, Apr 20
Germany's IW Institute Cuts Growth Forecast, DW, Apr 20
German Investor Confidence Probably Fell in April, Survey Shows, Bloomberg, Apr 20
U.K. House Prices Rise Fastest in Almost 1 1/2 Years, RICS Says, Bloomberg, Apr 20
Consumer balloon deflates as retail growth falls to three-month low, Guardian, Apr 20
Mortgage interest rates fall, Expatica, Apr 20
Too many rules ‘damage business’, Examiner, Apr 20

Euroland: A Few Observations on Exchange Rate Pass-Through
, Morgan Stanley, Apr 19
Europe Economics: Listening to Consumers, Morgan Stanley, Apr 19
German Economy Monthly (pdf), Commerzbank, Apr 19
Think Tank Predicts EU Expansion will Help German Economy, DW, Apr 19
Rate rise likely as employment hits record high, Guardian, Apr 19
Weak demand for dearer homes raises crash fears, Guardian, Apr 19
Over-regulating will cost jobs: IBEC, Examiner, Apr 19

APRIL 12- APRIL 16
German IT-Related Service Providers View Economic Upturn with Caution, ZEW, Apr 16
Labor market situation endangering recovery, FAZ, Apr 16
Pound Rises; U.K. Wage Growth May Fuel Higher Rate Speculation, Bloomberg, Apr 16
UK economic recovery 'improving', BBC, Apr 16
Manufacturers' optimism contrasts with official gloom, Guardian, Apr 16
France Leading Index Remains Steady, Conference Board, Apr 16
Inflation stable at 2.1pc, Expatica, Apr 16
Property investors warned of risks, Examiner, Apr 16
Ukrainian economy grows 11.8%, BDay, Apr 16

Monthly Bulletin April (pdf)
, ECB, Apr 15
The UK Leading Index Increases for a Seventh Consecutive Gain, Conference Board, Apr 15
House prices could fall by 15%, warns expert, FT, Apr 15
Poll: Job Protection Blocks Job Creation, DW, Apr 15
Mortgage loans rise by nearly 25pc, Expatica, Apr 15
Economic growth forecast by AIB chief, Examiner, Apr 15

House prices stumble in February
, BBC, Apr 14
German Inflation Accelerates in March on Higher Tobacco Tax, Bloomberg, Apr 14
Doubts grow about German economic upturn, Expatica, Apr 14
Strong Euro Hurts German Exports to U.S., DW, Apr 14
Spain 'should look to eastern markets', Expatica, Apr 14
Italy: Tax Cuts Moving into the Fast Lane, Morgan Stanley, Apr 14
Economic Survey - Norway 2004: Economic trends and policy challenges, OCDE, Apr 14

Economic Forecasts Spring 2004 (pdf)
, European Commission, Apr 13
Wales tops house price rise list, BBC, Apr 13
German posts robust trade growth, Expatica, Apr 13
Top jobs on offer increases by 28%, Examiner, Apr 13
Seafood exports fall by 10% to €384m, Examiner, Apr 13

ECB's Issing Tells Stuttgarter Zeitung Growth Needs Consumers
, Bloomberg, Apr 12
UK interest rates on hold at 4%
, BBC, Apr 12
British trade deficit narrows in February, AFP, Apr 12
Welsh house prices rise fastest as north-south divide narrows, Guardian, Apr 12
Germany: Beyond the Big Picture, Morgan Stanley, Apr 12
German Industry Output, Exports Fell in February, Bloomberg, Apr 12
Labor market situation endangering recovery, FAZ, Apr 12